Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035251 0.040803 0.046956 0.054284 0.062777 0.072315 0.083850
2026-01-18 0.026969 0.034356 0.043364 0.055168 0.070253 0.088916 0.113814
2026-01-25 0.022256 0.030502 0.041318 0.056570 0.077579 0.105581 0.145885
2026-02-01 0.018076 0.026291 0.037726 0.054846 0.079919 0.115443 0.169866
2026-02-08 0.015396 0.023569 0.035542 0.054420 0.083572 0.127117 0.197544
2026-02-15 0.013309 0.021320 0.033601 0.053874 0.086698 0.138093 0.225341
2026-02-22 0.011944 0.019942 0.032719 0.054716 0.091903 0.152698 0.260589
2026-03-01 0.010606 0.018391 0.031311 0.054431 0.095099 0.164281 0.292200
2026-03-08 0.009285 0.016677 0.029381 0.052944 0.095951 0.171865 0.317695
2026-03-15 0.008168 0.015160 0.027583 0.051409 0.096433 0.178721 0.342588
2026-03-22 0.007557 0.014476 0.027162 0.052294 0.101396 0.194191 0.385503
2026-03-29 0.006946 0.013710 0.026488 0.052591 0.105230 0.207927 0.426761
2026-04-05 0.006367 0.012946 0.025752 0.052721 0.108853 0.221896 0.470856
2026-04-12 0.005916 0.012382 0.025339 0.053451 0.113797 0.239153 0.524293
2026-04-19 0.005573 0.011994 0.025228 0.054782 0.120149 0.260084 0.588534
2026-04-26 0.004990 0.011027 0.023800 0.053108 0.119781 0.266618 0.621614
2026-05-03 0.004583 0.010389 0.022994 0.052694 0.122140 0.279381 0.670698
2026-05-10 0.004210 0.009783 0.022186 0.052166 0.124156 0.291583 0.720103
2026-05-17 0.003974 0.009460 0.021971 0.052981 0.129414 0.311926 0.792138
2026-05-24 0.003685 0.008977 0.021332 0.052704 0.131995 0.326192 0.850921
2026-05-31 0.003350 0.008346 0.020273 0.051266 0.131507 0.332876 0.891076
2026-06-07 0.003047 0.007756 0.019245 0.049780 0.130709 0.338677 0.929707
2026-06-14 0.002902 0.007549 0.019136 0.050637 0.136120 0.361101 1.016757